Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.003248 0.003551 0.003875 0.004246 0.004662 0.005114 0.005644
2025-12-21 0.002681 0.003097 0.003572 0.004157 0.004862 0.005691 0.006746
2025-12-28 0.002364 0.002833 0.003392 0.004113 0.005031 0.006170 0.007711
2026-01-04 0.002169 0.002675 0.003301 0.004143 0.005260 0.006714 0.008787
2026-01-11 0.001982 0.002503 0.003168 0.004090 0.005359 0.007079 0.009646
2026-01-18 0.001835 0.002366 0.003061 0.004054 0.005466 0.007450 0.010538
2026-01-25 0.001706 0.002240 0.002955 0.004002 0.005537 0.007767 0.011373
2026-02-01 0.001614 0.002157 0.002898 0.004011 0.005690 0.008208 0.012440
2026-02-08 0.001516 0.002056 0.002807 0.003961 0.005745 0.008501 0.013296
2026-02-15 0.001422 0.001954 0.002708 0.003888 0.005755 0.008717 0.014042
2026-02-22 0.001363 0.001900 0.002673 0.003908 0.005909 0.009175 0.015252
2026-03-01 0.001331 0.001881 0.002688 0.004006 0.006195 0.009876 0.016983
2026-03-08 0.001258 0.001800 0.002607 0.003950 0.006234 0.010176 0.018050
2026-03-15 0.001183 0.001712 0.002513 0.003868 0.006222 0.010390 0.018992
2026-03-22 0.001125 0.001647 0.002448 0.003828 0.006277 0.010729 0.020229
2026-03-29 0.001086 0.001609 0.002425 0.003856 0.006453 0.011309 0.022053
2026-04-05 0.001035 0.001549 0.002360 0.003807 0.006484 0.011612 0.023322
2026-04-12 0.000991 0.001497 0.002307 0.003774 0.006541 0.011969 0.024765
2026-04-19 0.000947 0.001444 0.002249 0.003727 0.006566 0.012261 0.026102
2026-04-26 0.000917 0.001411 0.002223 0.003735 0.006698 0.012790 0.028100
2026-05-03 0.000879 0.001364 0.002169 0.003689 0.006718 0.013081 0.029547
2026-05-10 0.000840 0.001314 0.002106 0.003622 0.006689 0.013259 0.030733
2026-05-17 0.000818 0.001289 0.002089 0.003640 0.006836 0.013849 0.033133